A Second Opinion, Not a Replacement
A diagnosis-assist model doesn't output a verdict — it outputs a probability, and where you set the threshold for a flag changes what counts as suspicious. Move the slider below and watch that tradeoff happen live.
“AI diagnosed the tumour” is a headline, not what actually happens in a clinic. A diagnosis-assist model does not hand a doctor a verdict — it hands them a probability, and where the system draws the line for what counts as a flag changes what gets caught and what gets missed, every single time.
A second opinion, not a replacement
In actual clinical use, a diagnosis-assist model sits alongside a radiologist or physician, not in place of one. It reviews the same scan or the same chart, surfaces cases it thinks deserve a closer look, and the clinician makes the actual call — the model is there to catch what a tired reviewer on their fortieth case of the day might miss, not to remove the reviewer.
A model outputs a probability, not a verdict
Underneath the alert a doctor sees, the model itself never outputs “yes” or “no.” It outputs a number between 0 and 1 — its estimate of how likely this case is to be positive, based on everything similar it has seen before. Something has to turn that number into an actual flag, and that something is a threshold, chosen in advance by the people who built and deployed the system.
Moving the threshold changes what counts as a flag
Move the slider below across forty simulated cases and watch what happens. Lower the threshold and more true cases get caught — but more healthy cases get flagged too, each one a false alarm that costs a clinician's time and a patient's anxiety on a follow-up that finds nothing. Raise it and false alarms drop — at the direct cost of missing real cases that scored just under the line.
Flagged
17/40
Correctly flagged
12
False alarms
5
Missed cases
3
Lower the threshold and false alarms climb before missed cases fall to zero — of these 40 simulated cases, 80% of genuine cases are caught at the current threshold. There is no single threshold that maximises both catching real cases and avoiding false alarms at once.
Key takeaways
- A diagnosis-assist model is deployed as a second opinion a clinician reviews, not a replacement for their judgement.
- The model itself outputs a probability between 0 and 1, never a direct yes-or-no verdict.
- Lowering the flag threshold catches more real cases but also raises false alarms; raising it does the reverse.
- No single threshold eliminates both missed cases and false alarms — choosing one is a values decision about which failure is more acceptable, not just a technical setting.